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Stoke logo
Championship | Gameweek 33
Feb 15, 2025 at 3pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
SL
Swansea logo

Stoke
3 - 1
Swansea

Burger (64'), Bae (73'), Baker (90+3')
Pearson (41'), Baker (78'), Moran (85'), Moran (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Tymon (61')
Cabango (63')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bristol City 2-0 Stoke
Wednesday, February 12 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 0-1 Sheff Weds
Wednesday, February 12 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Stoke City 1-1 Swansea City

Both Stoke and Swansea are determined to return to winning ways this weekend and put together a positive run of form in the coming weeks. However, there is little to separate these two teams and the spoils could be shared once again in another closely-fought encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 40.53%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 32.5% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stoke City would win this match.

Result
Stoke CityDrawSwansea City
40.53% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05) 26.96% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 32.5% (0.047999999999995 0.05)
Both teams to score 50.46% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.31% (0.030999999999999 0.03)54.69% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.98% (0.024999999999999 0.02)76.02% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.5% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)26.5% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.31% (-0.012 -0.01)61.69% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.64% (0.047000000000011 0.05)31.35% (-0.050999999999998 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.28% (0.057000000000002 0.06)67.72% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 40.52%
    Swansea City 32.51%
    Draw 26.96%
Stoke CityDrawSwansea City
1-0 @ 11.03% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.5% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
2-0 @ 7.33% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.76% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 3.24% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.18% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.25% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.08% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 40.52%
1-1 @ 12.79% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.31% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.93% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 26.96%
0-1 @ 9.64% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 7.42% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.59% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.87% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.16% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.91% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 32.51%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Bristol City 2-0 Stoke
Wednesday, February 12 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 3-3 Cardiff (2-4 pen.)
Saturday, February 8 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Hull City 1-2 Stoke
Saturday, February 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 0-0 Oxford Utd
Saturday, January 25 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Portsmouth 3-1 Stoke
Wednesday, January 22 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 1-1 Stoke
Saturday, January 18 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 0-1 Sheff Weds
Wednesday, February 12 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 0-1 Swansea
Sunday, February 9 at 12pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 0-2 Coventry
Saturday, February 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 5-1 Swansea
Saturday, January 25 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 1-2 Sheff Utd
Tuesday, January 21 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 3-0 Swansea
Saturday, January 18 at 12.30pm in Championship


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