Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 40.53%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 32.5% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stoke City would win this match.
Result | ||
Stoke City | Draw | Swansea City |
40.53% (![]() | 26.96% (![]() | 32.5% (![]() |
Both teams to score 50.46% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.31% (![]() | 54.69% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.98% (![]() | 76.02% (![]() |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.5% (![]() | 26.5% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.31% (![]() | 61.69% (![]() |
Swansea City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.64% (![]() | 31.35% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.28% (![]() | 67.72% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Stoke City | Draw | Swansea City |
1-0 @ 11.03% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.5% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.33% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.76% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.24% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.18% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.25% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.08% ( ![]() Other @ 2.16% Total : 40.52% | 1-1 @ 12.79% (![]() 0-0 @ 8.31% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.93% ( ![]() Other @ 0.93% Total : 26.96% | 0-1 @ 9.64% (![]() 1-2 @ 7.42% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.59% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.87% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.16% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.91% ( ![]() Other @ 2.93% Total : 32.51% |
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