SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 45.17%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 29.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Swansea City | Draw | Stoke City |
45.17% ( -1.69) | 25.8% ( 0.54) | 29.03% ( 1.15) |
| Both teams to score 52.51% ( -0.96) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.68% ( -1.6) | 51.33% ( 1.6) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.85% ( -1.42) | 73.15% ( 1.42) |
| Swansea City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.33% ( -1.44) | 22.67% ( 1.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.68% ( -2.18) | 56.32% ( 2.18) |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.91% ( 0.03) | 32.09% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.44% ( 0.03) | 68.56% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Swansea City | Draw | Stoke City |
| 1-0 @ 10.79% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 9.11% ( -0.19)2-0 @ 8.01% ( -0.18)3-1 @ 4.51% ( -0.3)3-0 @ 3.96% ( -0.27)3-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.17)4-1 @ 1.67% ( -0.19)4-0 @ 1.47% ( -0.17)4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.14% Total : 45.16% | 1-1 @ 12.27% ( 0.27) 0-0 @ 7.28% ( 0.46)2-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.11)3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.8% | 0-1 @ 8.27% ( 0.52) 1-2 @ 6.98% ( 0.16)0-2 @ 4.7% ( 0.3)1-3 @ 2.64% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.12)Other @ 2.7% Total : 29.03% |
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