The visitors have been in fine form since Rowett took charge at the club last month, so we see them edging a tight encounter here.
For Stoke, the results have improved under Robins, but they are still not winning enough games and we expect that to continue for at least another week.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 47.3%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 26.48% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (8.88%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 0-1 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
-0.07) 
0.03) 
