SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 38.33%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 36.46% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (6.11%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 0-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Watford | Draw | Middlesbrough |
38.33% ( 0.05) | 25.21% ( -0.02) | 36.46% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 56.99% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.36% ( 0.1) | 46.63% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.1% ( 0.09) | 68.9% ( -0.09) |
| Watford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76% ( 0.07) | 24% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.75% ( 0.1) | 58.25% ( -0.1) |
| Middlesbrough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.99% ( 0.03) | 25.01% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.33% ( 0.04) | 59.67% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Watford | Draw | Middlesbrough |
| 1-0 @ 8.57% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.47% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.11% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.03% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.91% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.79% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.44% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.04% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.98% Total : 38.33% | 1-1 @ 11.87% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.87% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.21% | 0-1 @ 8.32% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.23% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.76% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.8% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.71% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.66% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.32% ( 0)2-4 @ 0.94% ( 0)0-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.8% Total : 36.46% |
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