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Championship | Gameweek 3
Aug 19, 2023 at 3pm UK
Stadium of Light
RL

Sunderland
2 - 1
Rotherham

Bellingham (22', 52')
Cirkin (10'), Bellingham (69')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Odofin (20')
Bramall (33')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rotherham 2-2 Blackburn
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Sunderland 2-0 Rotherham United

Although they are missing their star forward and have lost both league games thus far, Sunderland do still possess plenty of quality and it surely only a matter of time until they get up and running in the Championship. We envisage them putting up a first victory of the campaign on Saturday, with the Millers not expected to cause them too many problems on the road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 50.65%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 23.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.63%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.11%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 0-1 (7.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.

Result
SunderlandDrawRotherham United
50.65% (0.269 0.27) 25.56% (0.032999999999998 0.03) 23.79% (-0.301 -0.3)
Both teams to score 48.96% (-0.405 -0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.12% (-0.375 -0.38)53.88% (0.377 0.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.66% (-0.316 -0.32)75.34% (0.318 0.32)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.7% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)21.3% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.76% (-0.059000000000005 -0.06)54.23% (0.061 0.06)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.2% (-0.483 -0.48)37.79% (0.486 0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.43% (-0.475 -0.47)74.57% (0.477 0.48)
Score Analysis
    Sunderland 50.64%
    Rotherham United 23.79%
    Draw 25.55%
SunderlandDrawRotherham United
1-0 @ 12.44% (0.16 0.16)
2-0 @ 9.63% (0.118 0.12)
2-1 @ 9.37% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.96% (0.055 0.05)
3-1 @ 4.83% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.35% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.92% (0.019 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.87% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.91% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 50.64%
1-1 @ 12.11% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.05% (0.118 0.12)
2-2 @ 4.56% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 25.55%
0-1 @ 7.83% (0.013 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.89% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
0-2 @ 3.81% (-0.045 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.91% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.48% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.24% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 23.79%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Preston 2-1 Sunderland
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 1-2 Crewe (3-5 pen.)
Tuesday, August 8 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Sunderland 1-2 Ipswich
Sunday, August 6 at 5pm in Championship
Last Game: Hartlepool 5-2 Sunderland
Tuesday, August 1 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Sunderland 1-1 Mallorca
Saturday, July 29 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: North Carolina 2-4 Sunderland
Saturday, July 22 at 1am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Rotherham 2-2 Blackburn
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Rotherham 2-1 Morecambe (4-2 pen.)
Tuesday, August 8 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Stoke 4-1 Rotherham
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Lincoln 0-3 Rotherham
Saturday, July 29 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Rotherham 1-0 Sheff Utd
Tuesday, July 25 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Mansfield 2-4 Rotherham
Saturday, July 22 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1


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