Although Millwall will consider themselves as favourites for this contest, it remains to be seen what their last two fixtures have taken out of them. With Stoke having improved of late, a share of the spoils could be played out in the Potteries.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 43.42%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 29.02% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (9.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.
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