Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 37.79%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 35.32% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.21%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (9.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Cardiff City	Draw	Swansea City
37.79%	26.88%	35.32%

Both teams to score 51.24%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.06%

53.93%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.61%

75.38%

Cardiff City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.32%

27.67%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.77%

63.22%

Swansea City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.85%

29.15%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.92%

65.08%

Score Analysis

Cardiff City 37.79%

Swansea City 35.32%

Draw 26.88%

Cardiff City	Draw	Swansea City
1-0 @ 10.36% 2-1 @ 8.21% 2-0 @ 6.66% 3-1 @ 3.51% 3-0 @ 2.85% 3-2 @ 2.17% 4-1 @ 1.13% 4-0 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.99% Total : 37.79%	1-1 @ 12.77% 0-0 @ 8.07% 2-2 @ 5.06% Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.88%	0-1 @ 9.94% 1-2 @ 7.88% 0-2 @ 6.13% 1-3 @ 3.24% 0-3 @ 2.52% 2-3 @ 2.08% 1-4 @ 1% Other @ 2.55% Total : 35.32%