SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 40.54%. A win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 32.69% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Queens Park Rangers win was 1-0 (9.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Queens Park Rangers | Draw | Swansea City |
32.69% ( 0.3) | 26.76% ( 0.04) | 40.54% ( -0.34) |
| Both teams to score 51.12% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.13% ( -0.1) | 53.87% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.67% ( -0.09) | 75.33% ( 0.09) |
| Queens Park Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.19% ( 0.15) | 30.81% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.91% ( 0.17) | 67.09% ( -0.17) |
| Swansea City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.89% ( -0.23) | 26.11% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.83% ( -0.31) | 61.17% ( 0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Queens Park Rangers | Draw | Swansea City |
| 1-0 @ 9.47% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 7.49% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 5.58% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 2.94% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 2.19% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.06% Total : 32.69% | 1-1 @ 12.71% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.05% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 5.03% ( -0)Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.76% | 0-1 @ 10.8% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.54% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 7.25% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 3.82% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 3.25% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.25% Total : 40.54% |
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