SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 39.9%. A win for Watford had a probability of 35.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.58%) and 0-2 (5.9%). The likeliest Watford win was 2-1 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Watford | Draw | MK Dons |
35.92% ( 0.12) | 24.17% ( 0.01) | 39.9% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 60.68% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.16% ( -0.03) | 41.84% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.76% ( -0.03) | 64.24% ( 0.03) |
| Watford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.9% ( 0.05) | 23.1% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.05% ( 0.07) | 56.95% ( -0.08) |
| MK Dons Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.9% ( -0.08) | 21.09% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.08% ( -0.12) | 53.92% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Watford | Draw | MK Dons |
| 2-1 @ 8.14% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.14% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 5.23% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.98% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.09% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.56% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.46% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.13% ( 0)4-0 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.26% Total : 35.92% | 1-1 @ 11.11% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.34% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.87% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.61% ( -0)Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.17% | 1-2 @ 8.65% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.58% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.9% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 4.49% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.29% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.06% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.75% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.73% Total : 39.9% |
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