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Championship | Gameweek 1
Aug 10, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
The Den
WL

Millwall
2 - 3
Watford

Watmore (74', 88')
Leonard (55'), Kayembe (86')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kayembe (22'), Chakvetadze (55'), Rajovic (90')
Sierralta (7'), Bryan (87'), Rajovic (90+1')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Millwall 0-1 Southampton
Saturday, August 3 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Watford 1-1 Brentford
Saturday, August 3 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3

We said: Millwall 1-1 Watford

This has all the makings of being an extremely tight encounter with both sides avoiding defeat with regularity during last season's run-in. On that note, we can only back a low-scoring draw, a result that would satisfy the visitors more so than their hosts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Watford win with a probability of 42.7%. A win for Millwall has a probability of 30.19% and a draw has a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (7.95%). The likeliest Millwall win is 1-0 (9.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.82%).

Result
MillwallDrawWatford
30.19% (0.064 0.06) 27.11% (0.12 0.12) 42.7% (-0.187 -0.19)
Both teams to score 49.15% (-0.32299999999999 -0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.05% (-0.427 -0.43)55.94% (0.425 0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.95% (-0.348 -0.35)77.04% (0.346 0.35)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.36% (-0.17400000000001 -0.17)33.64% (0.173 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.71% (-0.191 -0.19)70.29% (0.19 0.19)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.07% (-0.291 -0.29)25.92% (0.289 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.07% (-0.393 -0.39)60.92% (0.392 0.39)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 30.19%
    Watford 42.7%
    Draw 27.1%
MillwallDrawWatford
1-0 @ 9.5% (0.11 0.11)
2-1 @ 6.99% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.18% (0.035 0.04)
3-1 @ 2.54% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.88% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 1.71% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 30.19%
1-1 @ 12.82% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 8.72% (0.142 0.14)
2-2 @ 4.72% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 27.1%
0-1 @ 11.77% (0.1 0.1)
1-2 @ 8.66% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-2 @ 7.95% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 3.9% (-0.051 -0.05)
0-3 @ 3.58% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.12% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.32% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1.21% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 42.7%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Millwall 0-1 Southampton
Saturday, August 3 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Millwall 0-1 Colchester
Tuesday, July 30 at 12pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Murcia 1-2 Millwall
Friday, July 26 at 9.30am in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 2-1 Millwall
Tuesday, July 23 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Reading 1-2 Millwall
Friday, July 19 at 12pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Millwall 2-0 Charlton
Tuesday, July 16 at 7.45pm in Club Friendlies 2
Last Game: Watford 1-1 Brentford
Saturday, August 3 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Wycombe 3-2 Watford
Tuesday, July 30 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Hibernian 2-3 Watford
Wednesday, July 24 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Gillingham 2-0 Watford
Saturday, July 20 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Stevenage 2-2 Watford
Saturday, July 13 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Boreham Wood 0-1 Watford
Wednesday, July 10 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 1


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