SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 62.21%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Reading had a probability of 16.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.31%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.21%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (5.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Norwich City | Draw | Reading |
62.21% ( -1.57) | 21.47% ( 0.41) | 16.32% ( 1.15) |
| Both teams to score 49.72% ( 1.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.09% ( 0.36) | 46.9% ( -0.36) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.84% ( 0.33) | 69.15% ( -0.34) |
| Norwich City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.49% ( -0.37) | 14.51% ( 0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.48% ( -0.72) | 42.51% ( 0.72) |
| Reading Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.16% ( 1.75) | 41.84% ( -1.75) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.7% ( 1.49) | 78.29% ( -1.49) |
| Score Analysis |
| Norwich City | Draw | Reading |
| 1-0 @ 11.71% ( -0.34) 2-0 @ 11.31% ( -0.48)2-1 @ 9.86% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 7.28% ( -0.41)3-1 @ 6.34% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 3.51% ( -0.25)4-1 @ 3.06% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.76% ( 0.11)5-0 @ 1.36% ( -0.12)4-2 @ 1.33% ( 0.04)5-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.5% Total : 62.2% | 1-1 @ 10.21% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 6.07% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 4.29% ( 0.23)Other @ 0.89% Total : 21.47% | 0-1 @ 5.29% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 4.45% ( 0.29)0-2 @ 2.3% ( 0.18)1-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.14)2-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.12)Other @ 1.74% Total : 16.32% |
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