SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 48.88%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Reading had a probability of 25.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.31%) and 0-2 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.2%), while for a Reading win it was 1-0 (8.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Reading in this match.
| Result | ||
| Reading | Draw | Swansea City |
25.41% ( 1.19) | 25.7% ( 0.6) | 48.88% ( -1.79) |
| Both teams to score 50.1% ( -0.65) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.83% ( -1.42) | 53.17% ( 1.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.26% ( -1.21) | 74.73% ( 1.21) |
| Reading Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.04% ( 0.27) | 35.96% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.26% ( 0.27) | 72.74% ( -0.27) |
| Swansea City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.23% ( -1.34) | 21.77% ( 1.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.04% ( -2.08) | 54.96% ( 2.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Reading | Draw | Swansea City |
| 1-0 @ 8.01% ( 0.49) 2-1 @ 6.24% ( 0.18)2-0 @ 4.09% ( 0.28)3-1 @ 2.13% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 1.62% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.4% ( 0.11)Other @ 1.92% Total : 25.41% | 1-1 @ 12.2% ( 0.27) 0-0 @ 7.83% ( 0.43)2-2 @ 4.76% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.91% Total : 25.7% | 0-1 @ 11.93% ( 0.18) 1-2 @ 9.31% ( -0.17)0-2 @ 9.1% ( -0.24)1-3 @ 4.73% ( -0.29)0-3 @ 4.62% ( -0.32)2-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.13)1-4 @ 1.8% ( -0.19)0-4 @ 1.76% ( -0.2)2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.28% Total : 48.88% |
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