SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 39.7%. A win for Hull City had a probability of 32.33% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.18%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Hull City win was 0-1 (10.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Hull City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wigan Athletic | Draw | Hull City |
39.7% ( 0.21) | 27.97% ( -0.07) | 32.33% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 47.42% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.49% ( 0.23) | 58.51% ( -0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.91% ( 0.18) | 79.09% ( -0.18) |
| Wigan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.24% ( 0.23) | 28.77% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.39% ( 0.29) | 64.61% ( -0.28) |
| Hull City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.56% ( 0.03) | 33.44% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.93% ( 0.03) | 70.07% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wigan Athletic | Draw | Hull City |
| 1-0 @ 11.98% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.18% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 7.47% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.4% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 3.1% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.86% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.06% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.69% Total : 39.7% | 1-1 @ 13.12% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 9.62% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 4.48% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.74% Total : 27.96% | 0-1 @ 10.53% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 7.19% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.77% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.63% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.46% Total : 32.32% |
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