Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 36.67%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 35.37% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.84%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 0-1 (11.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.
Result | ||
Wigan Athletic | Draw | Sunderland |
36.67% ( -0.06) | 27.96% ( 0.02) | 35.37% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 47.91% ( -0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.89% ( -0.08) | 58.11% ( 0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.23% ( -0.06) | 78.77% ( 0.06) |
Wigan Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.63% ( -0.08) | 30.37% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.43% ( -0.09) | 66.57% ( 0.09) |
Sunderland Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.81% ( -0.02) | 31.19% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.47% ( -0.02) | 67.53% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Wigan Athletic | Draw | Sunderland |
1-0 @ 11.28% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.84% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.73% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.11% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.67% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.81% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.3% Total : 36.66% | 1-1 @ 13.15% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.47% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.57% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.96% | 0-1 @ 11.03% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.66% 0-2 @ 6.43% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.98% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.5% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.77% ( -0) Other @ 3% Total : 35.37% |
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