Middlesbrough have sometimes failed to impress at home this season and their record at the Riverside Stadium will hand encouragement to Wigan. Nevertheless, Boro are a different team under Carrick and should eventually have too much quality for their struggling opponents.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 59.01%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 17.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for a Wigan Athletic win it was 0-1 (6.58%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.
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