SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 38.09%. A win for Wuhan Three Towns had a probability of 35.88% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (6.41%). The likeliest Wuhan Three Towns win was 1-0 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Beijing Guoan in this match.
| Result | ||
| Wuhan Three Towns | Draw | Beijing Guoan |
35.88% ( -0.02) | 26.02% ( 0.13) | 38.09% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 54.11% ( -0.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.68% ( -0.57) | 50.31% ( 0.56) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.74% ( -0.51) | 72.26% ( 0.5) |
| Wuhan Three Towns Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.93% ( -0.28) | 27.07% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.56% ( -0.37) | 62.44% ( 0.36) |
| Beijing Guoan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.19% ( -0.32) | 25.8% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.23% ( -0.44) | 60.76% ( 0.43) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wuhan Three Towns | Draw | Beijing Guoan |
| 1-0 @ 9.13% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 8.08% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 5.97% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 3.52% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 2.6% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.15% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.06% Total : 35.88% | 1-1 @ 12.36% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 6.98% ( 0.16)2-2 @ 5.47% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.13% Total : 26.02% | 0-1 @ 9.46% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 8.37% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 6.41% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 3.78% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.47% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.44% Total : 38.09% |
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