SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 43.61%. A win for Beijing Guoan had a probability of 32.1% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.38%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Beijing Guoan win was 1-2 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Shandong Taishan | Draw | Beijing Guoan |
43.61% ( -1.72) | 24.29% ( 0.48) | 32.1% ( 1.25) |
| Both teams to score 59.17% ( -1.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.65% ( -1.71) | 43.35% ( 1.71) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.25% ( -1.7) | 65.74% ( 1.71) |
| Shandong Taishan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.96% ( -1.42) | 20.04% ( 1.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.74% ( -2.34) | 52.25% ( 2.35) |
| Beijing Guoan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74% ( -0.06) | 26% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.97% ( -0.08) | 61.03% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shandong Taishan | Draw | Beijing Guoan |
| 2-1 @ 9.07% ( -0.14) 1-0 @ 8.38% ( 0.26)2-0 @ 6.73% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 4.86% ( -0.3)3-0 @ 3.61% ( -0.22)3-2 @ 3.27% ( -0.21)4-1 @ 1.95% ( -0.22)4-0 @ 1.45% ( -0.16)4-2 @ 1.32% ( -0.15)Other @ 2.98% Total : 43.61% | 1-1 @ 11.28% ( 0.33) 2-2 @ 6.11% ( -0.11)0-0 @ 5.21% ( 0.38)3-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.28% | 1-2 @ 7.6% ( 0.21) 0-1 @ 7.02% ( 0.5)0-2 @ 4.73% ( 0.33)1-3 @ 3.41% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 2.12% ( 0.15)1-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.41% Total : 32.1% |
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