SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Port win with a probability of 45.32%. A win for Beijing Guoan had a probability of 30.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Port win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.83%) and 0-2 (7.17%). The likeliest Beijing Guoan win was 2-1 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Beijing Guoan | Draw | Shanghai Port |
30.36% ( -0.58) | 24.33% ( 0.07) | 45.32% ( 0.51) |
| Both teams to score 58.16% ( -0.56) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.71% ( -0.6) | 44.29% ( 0.6) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.33% ( -0.59) | 66.67% ( 0.59) |
| Beijing Guoan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.42% ( -0.68) | 27.58% ( 0.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.89% ( -0.88) | 63.11% ( 0.88) |
| Shanghai Port Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.31% ( -0.02) | 19.69% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.32% ( -0.04) | 51.68% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Beijing Guoan | Draw | Shanghai Port |
| 2-1 @ 7.32% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 6.99% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 4.5% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 3.14% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 2.55% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 1.93% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 1.01% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.9% Total : 30.36% | 1-1 @ 11.36% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.95% ( -0.08)0-0 @ 5.43% ( 0.14)3-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.32% | 1-2 @ 9.24% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 8.83% ( 0.22)0-2 @ 7.17% ( 0.17)1-3 @ 5% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 3.89% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 3.22% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 2.03% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.58% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.05% Total : 45.32% |
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