SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 79.05%. A draw had a probability of 13.8% and a win for Changchun Yatai had a probability of 7.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.29%) and 1-0 (10.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.58%), while for a Changchun Yatai win it was 0-1 (2.53%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Shandong Taishan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shandong Taishan | Draw | Changchun Yatai |
79.05% ( 0.75) | 13.83% ( -0.24) | 7.12% ( -0.52) |
| Both teams to score 44.49% ( -1.87) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.12% ( -0.92) | 36.88% ( 0.92) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.94% ( -1.01) | 59.06% ( 1.01) |
| Shandong Taishan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.56% ( -0.05) | 7.44% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 73.23% ( -0.12) | 26.77% ( 0.12) |
| Changchun Yatai Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.07% ( -2) | 51.93% ( 2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.04% ( -1.35) | 85.96% ( 1.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shandong Taishan | Draw | Changchun Yatai |
| 2-0 @ 13.04% ( 0.52) 3-0 @ 11.29% ( 0.42)1-0 @ 10.03% ( 0.41)2-1 @ 8.55% ( -0.15)3-1 @ 7.4% ( -0.15)4-0 @ 7.34% ( 0.26)4-1 @ 4.81% ( -0.11)5-0 @ 3.81% ( 0.13)5-1 @ 2.5% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.43% ( -0.2)6-0 @ 1.65% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.58% ( -0.13)6-1 @ 1.08% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.53% Total : 79.03% | 1-1 @ 6.58% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 3.86% ( 0.17)2-2 @ 2.8% ( -0.22)Other @ 0.59% Total : 13.83% | 0-1 @ 2.53% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.16)Other @ 2.44% Total : 7.12% |
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