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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Port win with a probability of 59.39%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Henan Songshan Longmen had a probability of 17.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Port win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.66%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for a Henan Songshan Longmen win it was 0-1 (6.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shanghai Port would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shanghai Port | Draw | Henan Songshan Longmen |
59.39% ( 0.33) | 23.25% ( -0.01) | 17.35% ( -0.32) |
| Both teams to score 46.43% ( -0.56) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.57% ( -0.44) | 52.42% ( 0.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.9% ( -0.38) | 74.1% ( 0.37) |
| Shanghai Port Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.65% ( -0.04) | 17.34% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.27% ( -0.07) | 47.73% ( 0.07) |
| Henan Songshan Longmen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.17% ( -0.65) | 43.83% ( 0.65) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.02% ( -0.54) | 79.98% ( 0.54) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shanghai Port | Draw | Henan Songshan Longmen |
| 1-0 @ 13.31% ( 0.21) 2-0 @ 11.66% ( 0.17)2-1 @ 9.62% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 6.81% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 5.62% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 2.98% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 2.46% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.32% ( -0.05)5-0 @ 1.05% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.53% Total : 59.38% | 1-1 @ 10.98% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.6% ( 0.13)2-2 @ 3.97% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.7% Total : 23.25% | 0-1 @ 6.27% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.53% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 2.59% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.63% Total : 17.35% |
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