Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Changchun Yatai win with a probability of 58.2%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Shenzhen had a probability of 17.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Changchun Yatai win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.66%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for a Shenzhen win it was 0-1 (6.66%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Changchun Yatai would win this match.
Result | ||
Changchun Yatai | Draw | Shenzhen |
58.2% (![]() | 23.94% (![]() | 17.87% (![]() |
Both teams to score 45.43% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.73% (![]() | 54.27% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.34% (![]() | 75.66% (![]() |
Changchun Yatai Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.55% (![]() | 18.45% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.36% (![]() | 49.64% (![]() |
Shenzhen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.71% (![]() | 44.28% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.64% (![]() | 80.35% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Changchun Yatai | Draw | Shenzhen |
1-0 @ 13.81% (![]() 2-0 @ 11.66% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.51% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 6.57% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.35% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.78% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.26% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.18% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 0.94% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 0.92% ( ![]() Other @ 2.2% Total : 58.19% | 1-1 @ 11.24% (![]() 0-0 @ 8.17% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.87% ( ![]() Other @ 0.65% Total : 23.93% | 0-1 @ 6.66% (![]() 1-2 @ 4.58% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.71% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.24% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.05% ( ![]() Other @ 1.62% Total : 17.87% |
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