SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 56.53%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Changchun Yatai had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.72%) and 2-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for a Changchun Yatai win it was 1-2 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Beijing Guoan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Beijing Guoan | Draw | Changchun Yatai |
56.53% ( -0.38) | 22.27% ( 0.2) | 21.2% ( 0.19) |
| Both teams to score 55.96% ( -0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57% ( -0.63) | 42.99% ( 0.64) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.6% ( -0.63) | 65.39% ( 0.63) |
| Beijing Guoan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.97% ( -0.34) | 15.02% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.5% ( -0.65) | 43.5% ( 0.65) |
| Changchun Yatai Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.85% ( -0.18) | 34.15% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.16% ( -0.19) | 70.84% ( 0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Beijing Guoan | Draw | Changchun Yatai |
| 2-1 @ 9.9% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.72% ( 0.16)2-0 @ 9.22% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 6.26% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 5.82% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 3.36% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 2.97% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 2.76% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.59% ( -0.05)5-1 @ 1.12% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 1.05% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.76% Total : 56.53% | 1-1 @ 10.44% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.32% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 5.13% ( 0.14)3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.26% | 1-2 @ 5.61% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 5.51% ( 0.13)0-2 @ 2.96% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 2.01% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.13% Total : 21.2% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
