SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Port win with a probability of 53.98%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Changchun Yatai had a probability of 21.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Port win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.92%) and 1-2 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.5%), while for a Changchun Yatai win it was 1-0 (6.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shanghai Port would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Changchun Yatai | Draw | Shanghai Port |
21.84% ( -0.32) | 24.18% ( -0.28) | 53.98% ( 0.59) |
| Both teams to score 50.73% ( 0.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.62% ( 0.76) | 50.37% ( -0.77) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.69% ( 0.67) | 72.31% ( -0.68) |
| Changchun Yatai Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.31% ( 0.12) | 37.69% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.53% ( 0.12) | 74.46% ( -0.13) |
| Shanghai Port Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.42% ( 0.51) | 18.58% ( -0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.15% ( 0.86) | 49.85% ( -0.87) |
| Score Analysis |
| Changchun Yatai | Draw | Shanghai Port |
| 1-0 @ 6.83% ( -0.19) 2-1 @ 5.61% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 3.33% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 1.83% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.54% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 1.08% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.62% Total : 21.84% | 1-1 @ 11.5% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 7% ( -0.22)2-2 @ 4.72% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.96% Total : 24.18% | 0-1 @ 11.78% ( -0.17) 0-2 @ 9.92% ( 0.02)1-2 @ 9.68% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 5.57% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 5.43% ( 0.12)2-3 @ 2.65% ( 0.07)0-4 @ 2.34% ( 0.08)1-4 @ 2.29% ( 0.09)2-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.21% Total : 53.97% |
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