SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Changchun Yatai win with a probability of 45.07%. A win for Shenzhen had a probability of 28.98% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Changchun Yatai win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Shenzhen win was 0-1 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Changchun Yatai in this match.
| Result | ||
| Changchun Yatai | Draw | Shenzhen |
45.07% ( 0.02) | 25.95% ( 0) | 28.98% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 52.01% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.03% ( -0.02) | 51.96% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.29% ( -0.02) | 73.7% ( 0.02) |
| Changchun Yatai Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.01% ( -0) | 22.99% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.21% ( -0.01) | 56.79% ( 0) |
| Shenzhen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.54% ( -0.03) | 32.46% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.01% ( -0.03) | 68.98% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Changchun Yatai | Draw | Shenzhen |
| 1-0 @ 10.97% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.07% 2-0 @ 8.06% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.45% 3-0 @ 3.95% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.5% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.63% 4-0 @ 1.45% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 2.06% Total : 45.07% | 1-1 @ 12.34% 0-0 @ 7.46% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.1% ( -0)3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.95% | 0-1 @ 8.4% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.94% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.72% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.61% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.91% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.77% ( -0)Other @ 2.62% Total : 28.98% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
