SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Changchun Yatai win with a probability of 37.04%. A win for Wuhan had a probability of 34.53% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Changchun Yatai win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.77%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Wuhan win was 0-1 (11.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Changchun Yatai would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Changchun Yatai | Draw | Wuhan |
37.04% ( -0.02) | 28.43% ( -0) | 34.53% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 46.48% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.15% ( 0) | 59.85% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.88% ( 0) | 80.12% ( -0) |
| Changchun Yatai Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.98% ( -0.01) | 31.01% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.68% ( -0.01) | 67.32% ( 0.01) |
| Wuhan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.37% ( 0.01) | 32.63% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.83% ( 0.01) | 69.17% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Changchun Yatai | Draw | Wuhan |
| 1-0 @ 11.84% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.77% ( -0)2-0 @ 6.94% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.03% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.71% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.7% ( -0)Other @ 3.06% Total : 37.03% | 1-1 @ 13.26% 0-0 @ 10.11% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.35% ( 0)Other @ 0.69% Total : 28.41% | 0-1 @ 11.33% 1-2 @ 7.43% ( 0)0-2 @ 6.35% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.77% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.37% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.62% ( 0)Other @ 2.65% Total : 34.53% |
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