Chinese Super League | Gameweek 17
Sep 24, 2022 at 10.30am UK
Changchun's People Stadium
We said: Changchun Yatai 2-1 Wuhan
Both teams have been largely underwhelming this term, and all three points here could be the catalyst for a change in fortunes. We expect an open and entertaining affair with the hosts narrowly coming out on top in the end.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Changchun Yatai win with a probability of 37.04%. A win for Wuhan had a probability of 34.53% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Changchun Yatai win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.77%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Wuhan win was 0-1 (11.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Changchun Yatai would win this match.
| Result |
| Changchun Yatai | Draw | Wuhan |
37.04% ( -0.02) | 28.43% ( -0) | 34.53% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 46.48% ( 0) |
| 40.15% ( 0) | 59.85% ( -0) |
| 19.88% ( 0) | 80.12% ( -0) |
| 68.98% ( -0.01) | 31.01% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.68% ( -0.01) | 67.32% ( 0.01) |
| 67.37% ( 0.01) | 32.63% ( -0.01) |
