SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Shenzhen | 10 | 0 | 16 |
| 7 | Wuhan | 9 | -7 | 12 |
| 8 | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | 9 | 0 | 11 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Shanghai Port | 9 | 2 | 16 |
| 6 | Shenzhen | 10 | 0 | 16 |
| 7 | Wuhan | 9 | -7 | 12 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shenzhen win with a probability of 39.66%. A win for Wuhan had a probability of 36% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shenzhen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.75%) and 0-2 (5.95%). The likeliest Wuhan win was 2-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shenzhen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wuhan | Draw | Shenzhen |
36% ( 0.02) | 24.34% ( 0.02) | 39.66% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 60.06% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.35% ( -0.1) | 42.65% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.95% ( -0.1) | 65.05% ( 0.1) |
| Wuhan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.57% ( -0.04) | 23.43% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.57% ( -0.05) | 57.43% ( 0.05) |
| Shenzhen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.44% ( -0.06) | 21.56% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.35% ( -0.09) | 54.65% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wuhan | Draw | Shenzhen |
| 2-1 @ 8.16% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.33% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 5.32% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.95% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.03% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.57% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.43% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.1% ( -0)4-0 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.17% Total : 36% | 1-1 @ 11.24% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.26% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.05% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.34% | 1-2 @ 8.63% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.75% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 5.95% ( 0)1-3 @ 4.41% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.2% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.04% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.69% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.17% ( -0)Other @ 2.59% Total : 39.66% |
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