SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Changchun Yatai | 10 | -4 | 11 |
| 10 | Dalian Pro | 10 | -4 | 10 |
| 11 | Cangzhou Mighty Lions | 9 | -6 | 7 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Shanghai Port | 9 | 2 | 16 |
| 6 | Shenzhen | 10 | 0 | 16 |
| 7 | Wuhan | 9 | -7 | 12 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dalian Pro win with a probability of 41.45%. A win for Shenzhen had a probability of 32.86% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dalian Pro win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Shenzhen win was 0-1 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dalian Pro would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dalian Pro | Draw | Shenzhen |
41.45% ( 0.6) | 25.69% ( 0.09) | 32.86% ( -0.7) |
| Both teams to score 54.64% ( -0.52) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.63% ( -0.59) | 49.37% ( 0.59) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.58% ( -0.53) | 71.42% ( 0.53) |
| Dalian Pro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.38% ( 0.04) | 23.62% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.29% ( 0.06) | 57.7% ( -0.06) |
| Shenzhen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.53% ( -0.73) | 28.47% ( 0.73) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.77% ( -0.92) | 64.23% ( 0.92) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dalian Pro | Draw | Shenzhen |
| 1-0 @ 9.7% ( 0.24) 2-1 @ 8.8% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 7% ( 0.18)3-1 @ 4.23% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 3.37% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 2.66% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.53% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.22% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.99% Total : 41.45% | 1-1 @ 12.19% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 6.72% ( 0.16)2-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.69% | 0-1 @ 8.45% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.66% ( -0.12)0-2 @ 5.31% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 3.21% ( -0.12)2-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.08)1-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.69% Total : 32.86% |
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