SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Cangzhou Mighty Lions | 9 | -6 | 7 |
| 12 | Guangzhou | 10 | -11 | 6 |
| 13 | Hebei | 10 | -17 | 3 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Shanghai Port | 9 | 2 | 16 |
| 6 | Shenzhen | 10 | 0 | 16 |
| 7 | Wuhan | 9 | -7 | 12 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shenzhen win with a probability of 59.45%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Guangzhou had a probability of 18.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shenzhen win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.54%) and 1-2 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for a Guangzhou win it was 1-0 (5.6%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Guangzhou | Draw | Shenzhen |
18.38% ( 0.18) | 22.16% ( -0.01) | 59.45% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 51.61% ( 0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.51% ( 0.33) | 46.49% ( -0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.24% ( 0.31) | 68.76% ( -0.31) |
| Guangzhou Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.9% ( 0.4) | 39.1% ( -0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.18% ( 0.38) | 75.82% ( -0.37) |
| Shenzhen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.74% ( 0.06) | 15.25% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.06% ( 0.11) | 43.94% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Guangzhou | Draw | Shenzhen |
| 1-0 @ 5.6% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 4.95% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 2.63% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 1.55% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.46% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.2% Total : 18.38% | 1-1 @ 10.53% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.96% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 4.65% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.16% | 0-1 @ 11.21% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 10.54% ( -0.1)1-2 @ 9.9% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 6.61% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 6.21% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 3.11% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 2.92% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.91% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.37% ( 0.02)0-5 @ 1.17% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 1.1% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.4% Total : 59.44% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
