SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win with a probability of 84.11%. A draw had a probability of 11.1% and a win for Hebei had a probability of 4.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.77%) and 1-0 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.28%), while for a Hebei win it was 0-1 (1.85%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tianjin Jinmen Tiger would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | Draw | Hebei |
84.11% ( -0.05) | 11.1% ( 0.01) | 4.78% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 40.28% ( 0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.11% ( 0.15) | 33.88% ( -0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.27% ( 0.17) | 55.73% ( -0.17) |
| Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.19% ( 0.02) | 5.8% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 77.67% ( 0.05) | 22.32% ( -0.06) |
| Hebei Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 42.76% ( 0.25) | 57.23% ( -0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 10.82% ( 0.14) | 89.17% ( -0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | Draw | Hebei |
| 2-0 @ 13.45% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 12.77% ( -0.05)1-0 @ 9.45% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 9.09% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 7.51% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 7.13% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 5.18% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 5.07% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 2.89% ( 0.02)6-0 @ 2.46% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.99% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.42% ( 0.02)6-1 @ 1.37% ( 0.01)7-0 @ 1% ( 0)Other @ 3.34% Total : 84.1% | 1-1 @ 5.28% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.32% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 2.1% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.41% Total : 11.1% | 0-1 @ 1.85% 1-2 @ 1.47% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.46% Total : 4.78% |
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