Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Port win with a probability of 48.71%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Changchun Yatai had a probability of 23.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Port win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.03%) and 1-2 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.66%), while for a Changchun Yatai win it was 1-0 (9.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shanghai Port would win this match.
Result | ||
Changchun Yatai | Draw | Shanghai Port |
23.69% ( -0.08) | 27.59% ( -0.07) | 48.71% ( 0.15) |
Both teams to score 43.39% ( 0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.92% ( 0.18) | 61.07% ( -0.19) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.95% ( 0.14) | 81.05% ( -0.14) |
Changchun Yatai Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.05% ( 0.03) | 41.95% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.61% ( 0.02) | 78.39% ( -0.03) |
Shanghai Port Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.74% ( 0.16) | 25.26% ( -0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.98% ( 0.22) | 60.01% ( -0.22) |
Score Analysis |
Changchun Yatai | Draw | Shanghai Port |
1-0 @ 9.2% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 5.5% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 1.59% 3-0 @ 1.16% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.1% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.14% Total : 23.69% | 1-1 @ 12.66% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 10.59% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 3.79% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.54% Total : 27.58% | 0-1 @ 14.57% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 10.03% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.71% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 4.6% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 4% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.58% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.38% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.1% Total : 48.7% |
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