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Chinese Super League | Gameweek 22
Oct 9, 2022 at 8.30am UK
Changchun's People Stadium
SP

Changchun
1 - 4
Shanghai Port

Cheng (45')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Wenjun (8', 30'), Paulinho (68'), Li (83')
Coverage of the Chinese Super League clash between Changchun Yatai and Shanghai Port.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Changchun 0-0 Guangzhou
Wednesday, October 5 at 8.30am in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Shanghai Port 0-1 Beijing Guoan
Wednesday, October 5 at 12.30pm in Chinese Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Port win with a probability of 48.71%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Changchun Yatai had a probability of 23.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Port win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.03%) and 1-2 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.66%), while for a Changchun Yatai win it was 1-0 (9.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shanghai Port would win this match.

Result
Changchun YataiDrawShanghai Port
23.69% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08) 27.59% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07) 48.71% (0.151 0.15)
Both teams to score 43.39% (0.111 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.92% (0.184 0.18)61.07% (-0.187 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.95% (0.136 0.14)81.05% (-0.14 -0.14)
Changchun Yatai Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.05% (0.026999999999994 0.03)41.95% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.61% (0.024999999999999 0.02)78.39% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Shanghai Port Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.74% (0.155 0.16)25.26% (-0.159 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.98% (0.215 0.22)60.01% (-0.219 -0.22)
Score Analysis
    Changchun Yatai 23.69%
    Shanghai Port 48.7%
    Draw 27.58%
Changchun YataiDrawShanghai Port
1-0 @ 9.2% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
2-1 @ 5.5% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 4% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-1 @ 1.59%
3-0 @ 1.16% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.1% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 1.14%
Total : 23.69%
1-1 @ 12.66% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 10.59% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-2 @ 3.79% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 27.58%
0-1 @ 14.57% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-2 @ 10.03% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.71% (0.025 0.03)
0-3 @ 4.6% (0.03 0.03)
1-3 @ 4% (0.03 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.74% (0.014 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.58% (0.018 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.38% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 48.7%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Changchun 0-0 Guangzhou
Wednesday, October 5 at 8.30am in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Changchun 1-0 Shenzhen
Friday, September 30 at 10.30am in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Changchun 2-0 Wuhan
Saturday, September 24 at 10.30am in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Changchun 1-2 Wuhan TT
Tuesday, September 20 at 10.30am in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Changchun 0-1 Chengdu Qianbao
Thursday, September 1 at 12.30pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Cangzhou 1-2 Changchun
Sunday, August 28 at 10.30am in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Shanghai Port 0-1 Beijing Guoan
Wednesday, October 5 at 12.30pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Shanghai Port 3-0 Chengdu Qianbao
Thursday, September 29 at 10.30am in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Shanghai Port 2-0 Guangzhou City
Sunday, September 25 at 10.30am in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Henan 1-2 Shanghai Port
Tuesday, September 20 at 12.30pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Cangzhou 0-0 Shanghai Port
Thursday, September 1 at 10.30am in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Shanghai Port 1-0 Tianjin Jinmen
Saturday, August 27 at 10.30am in Chinese Super League


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