SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 44.22%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Changchun Yatai had a probability of 27.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.77%) and 1-2 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.02%), while for a Changchun Yatai win it was 1-0 (10.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Changchun Yatai | Draw | Shanghai Shenhua |
27.67% ( 1.07) | 28.11% ( -0.12) | 44.22% ( -0.95) |
| Both teams to score 45.05% ( 0.98) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.48% ( 0.91) | 60.52% ( -0.91) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.37% ( 0.68) | 80.63% ( -0.68) |
| Changchun Yatai Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.92% ( 1.41) | 38.08% ( -1.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.16% ( 1.34) | 74.84% ( -1.34) |
| Shanghai Shenhua Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.75% ( -0.07) | 27.25% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.32% ( -0.09) | 62.68% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Changchun Yatai | Draw | Shanghai Shenhua |
| 1-0 @ 10.01% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 6.29% ( 0.25)2-0 @ 4.84% ( 0.2)3-1 @ 2.02% ( 0.15)3-0 @ 1.56% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 1.32% ( 0.1)Other @ 1.63% Total : 27.67% | 1-1 @ 13.02% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 10.37% ( -0.36)2-2 @ 4.09% ( 0.16)Other @ 0.62% Total : 28.1% | 0-1 @ 13.49% ( -0.49) 0-2 @ 8.77% ( -0.34)1-2 @ 8.47% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.8% ( -0.15)1-3 @ 3.67% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.07)0-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 1.19% ( -0)Other @ 1.82% Total : 44.22% |
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