SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chengdu Qianbao win with a probability of 43.51%. A win for Changchun Yatai had a probability of 30.26% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chengdu Qianbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest Changchun Yatai win was 0-1 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chengdu Qianbao | Draw | Changchun Yatai |
43.51% ( 0.02) | 26.23% ( 0) | 30.26% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 51.84% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.49% ( -0.01) | 52.51% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.83% ( -0.01) | 74.17% ( 0.01) |
| Chengdu Qianbao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.02% ( 0.01) | 23.98% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.78% ( 0.01) | 58.22% ( -0.01) |
| Changchun Yatai Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.19% ( -0.02) | 31.81% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.76% ( -0.03) | 68.24% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chengdu Qianbao | Draw | Changchun Yatai |
| 1-0 @ 10.89% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.91% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.78% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.24% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.7% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.43% 4-1 @ 1.51% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.32% ( 0)Other @ 2.73% Total : 43.51% | 1-1 @ 12.47% 0-0 @ 7.63% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.1% ( -0)3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.23% | 0-1 @ 8.74% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.15% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.73% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.95% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.91% ( -0)Other @ 2.79% Total : 30.26% |
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