SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Henan Songshan Longmen | 10 | 14 | 23 |
| 3 | Shanghai Shenhua | 9 | 7 | 20 |
| 4 | Beijing Guoan | 10 | 4 | 16 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | 9 | 0 | 11 |
| 9 | Changchun Yatai | 10 | -4 | 11 |
| 10 | Dalian Pro | 10 | -4 | 10 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 58.1%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Changchun Yatai had a probability of 18.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.3%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for a Changchun Yatai win it was 0-1 (6.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Shanghai Shenhua | Draw | Changchun Yatai |
58.1% ( 0.23) | 23.59% ( -0.42) | 18.31% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 47.17% ( 1.49) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.64% ( 1.82) | 52.35% ( -1.82) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.95% ( 1.54) | 74.04% ( -1.55) |
| Shanghai Shenhua Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.21% ( 0.76) | 17.78% ( -0.76) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.5% ( 1.3) | 48.49% ( -1.3) |
| Changchun Yatai Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.37% ( 1.29) | 42.62% ( -1.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.02% ( 1.08) | 78.97% ( -1.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shanghai Shenhua | Draw | Changchun Yatai |
| 1-0 @ 13.09% ( -0.63) 2-0 @ 11.3% ( -0.26)2-1 @ 9.64% ( 0.12)3-0 @ 6.51% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.55% ( 0.2)4-0 @ 2.81% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 2.4% ( 0.14)3-2 @ 2.37% ( 0.17)4-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.09)5-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.45% Total : 58.09% | 1-1 @ 11.16% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 7.58% ( -0.56)2-2 @ 4.11% ( 0.2)Other @ 0.74% Total : 23.59% | 0-1 @ 6.46% ( -0.24) 1-2 @ 4.76% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 2.76% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.09)Other @ 1.81% Total : 18.31% |
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