SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Shenzhen | 10 | 0 | 16 |
| 7 | Wuhan | 9 | -7 | 12 |
| 8 | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | 9 | 0 | 11 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Shandong Taishan | 10 | 11 | 24 |
| 2 | Henan Songshan Longmen | 10 | 14 | 23 |
| 3 | Shanghai Shenhua | 9 | 7 | 20 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 66.84%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Wuhan had a probability of 13.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.5%) and 1-2 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.11%), while for a Wuhan win it was 1-0 (4.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shandong Taishan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wuhan | Draw | Shandong Taishan |
13.93% ( -0.13) | 19.24% ( -0.13) | 66.84% ( 0.26) |
| Both teams to score 51.25% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.13% ( 0.29) | 41.87% ( -0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.72% ( 0.3) | 64.27% ( -0.3) |
| Wuhan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.98% ( -0.01) | 42.02% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.55% ( -0.01) | 78.45% ( 0) |
| Shandong Taishan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.38% ( 0.15) | 11.62% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.38% ( 0.33) | 36.62% ( -0.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wuhan | Draw | Shandong Taishan |
| 1-0 @ 4.23% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 3.95% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 1.84% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.23% ( -0)3-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.54% Total : 13.93% | 1-1 @ 9.11% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 4.88% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 4.25% ( -0)Other @ 0.99% Total : 19.24% | 0-2 @ 11.3% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 10.5% ( -0.08)1-2 @ 9.81% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 8.12% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 7.04% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 4.37% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 3.79% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 3.05% ( 0.02)0-5 @ 1.88% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 1.64% ( 0.02)1-5 @ 1.63% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.7% Total : 66.82% |
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