Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
6 | Shenzhen | 10 | 0 | 16 |
7 | Wuhan | 9 | -7 | 12 |
8 | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | 9 | 0 | 11 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
3 | Shanghai Shenhua | 9 | 7 | 20 |
4 | Beijing Guoan | 10 | 4 | 16 |
5 | Shanghai Port | 9 | 2 | 16 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 37.56%. A win for Wuhan had a probability of 36.3% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.29%) and 0-2 (6.34%). The likeliest Wuhan win was 1-0 (9.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Beijing Guoan would win this match.
Result | ||
Wuhan | Draw | Beijing Guoan |
36.3% ( 0.19) | 26.14% ( -0.01) | 37.56% ( -0.18) |
Both teams to score 53.76% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.22% ( 0.04) | 50.77% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.33% ( 0.03) | 72.66% ( -0.03) |
Wuhan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.96% ( 0.13) | 27.04% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.6% ( 0.17) | 62.4% ( -0.17) |
Beijing Guoan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.68% ( -0.08) | 26.32% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.55% ( -0.11) | 61.45% ( 0.11) |
Score Analysis |
Wuhan | Draw | Beijing Guoan |
1-0 @ 9.31% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.13% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 6.09% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.54% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.65% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.36% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.16% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.07% Total : 36.3% | 1-1 @ 12.42% 0-0 @ 7.12% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.42% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.13% | 0-1 @ 9.5% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 8.29% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.34% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.69% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.41% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.33% Total : 37.56% |
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