SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Shenzhen | 10 | 0 | 16 |
| 7 | Wuhan | 9 | -7 | 12 |
| 8 | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | 9 | 0 | 11 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Shandong Taishan | 10 | 11 | 24 |
| 2 | Henan Songshan Longmen | 10 | 14 | 23 |
| 3 | Shanghai Shenhua | 9 | 7 | 20 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Henan Songshan Longmen win with a probability of 43.45%. A win for Wuhan had a probability of 28.55% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Henan Songshan Longmen win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.5%) and 1-2 (8.46%). The likeliest Wuhan win was 1-0 (10.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Wuhan | Draw | Henan Songshan Longmen |
28.55% ( -0.26) | 28% ( 0.02) | 43.45% ( 0.24) |
| Both teams to score 45.82% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.22% ( -0.15) | 59.78% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.93% ( -0.12) | 80.07% ( 0.12) |
| Wuhan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.04% ( -0.29) | 36.96% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.25% ( -0.29) | 73.75% ( 0.29) |
| Henan Songshan Longmen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.69% ( 0.06) | 27.31% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.24% ( 0.07) | 62.76% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wuhan | Draw | Henan Songshan Longmen |
| 1-0 @ 10.04% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 6.49% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 5% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 2.15% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 1.66% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.4% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.8% Total : 28.54% | 1-1 @ 13.04% 0-0 @ 10.09% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 4.21% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.66% Total : 28% | 0-1 @ 13.1% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 8.5% ( 0.08)1-2 @ 8.46% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.68% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 3.66% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.19% ( 0)Other @ 1.84% Total : 43.45% |
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