SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chengdu Qianbao win with a probability of 59.21%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Dalian Pro had a probability of 18.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chengdu Qianbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.38%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.5%), while for a Dalian Pro win it was 0-1 (5.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chengdu Qianbao would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chengdu Qianbao | Draw | Dalian Pro |
59.21% ( -0.08) | 22.14% ( 0.04) | 18.65% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 52.19% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.04% ( -0.09) | 45.96% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.73% ( -0.09) | 68.27% ( 0.09) |
| Chengdu Qianbao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.84% ( -0.06) | 15.16% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.24% ( -0.11) | 43.75% ( 0.11) |
| Dalian Pro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.51% ( 0) | 38.49% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.76% ( 0) | 75.24% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chengdu Qianbao | Draw | Dalian Pro |
| 1-0 @ 11% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 10.38% 2-1 @ 9.91% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.53% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.24% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 3.08% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.98% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.94% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.4% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.16% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.11% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.47% Total : 59.2% | 1-1 @ 10.5% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.83% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.73% ( -0)3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.13% | 0-1 @ 5.57% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.02% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.66% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.6% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.51% ( -0)Other @ 2.3% Total : 18.65% |
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