SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chengdu Qianbao win with a probability of 42.94%. A win for Dalian Pro had a probability of 29.9% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chengdu Qianbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (8.03%). The likeliest Dalian Pro win was 1-0 (9.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dalian Pro | Draw | Chengdu Qianbao |
29.9% ( 0.71) | 27.16% ( 0.04) | 42.94% ( -0.74) |
| Both teams to score 48.87% ( 0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.75% ( 0.13) | 56.25% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.71% ( 0.11) | 77.29% ( -0.1) |
| Dalian Pro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.98% ( 0.6) | 34.02% ( -0.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.3% ( 0.64) | 70.7% ( -0.64) |
| Chengdu Qianbao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.06% ( -0.32) | 25.94% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.06% ( -0.44) | 60.95% ( 0.44) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dalian Pro | Draw | Chengdu Qianbao |
| 1-0 @ 9.52% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 6.92% ( 0.13)2-0 @ 5.13% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 2.49% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 1.84% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 1.68% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.32% Total : 29.9% | 1-1 @ 12.84% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.83% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 4.67% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.16% | 0-1 @ 11.9% ( -0.17) 1-2 @ 8.66% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 8.03% ( -0.19)1-3 @ 3.9% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 3.61% ( -0.12)2-3 @ 2.1% 1-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.22% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.19% Total : 42.93% |
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