Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dalian Pro win with a probability of 38.43%. A win for Shanghai Shenhua had a probability of 34.89% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dalian Pro win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (6.73%). The likeliest Shanghai Shenhua win was 1-0 (9.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dalian Pro would win this match.
Result | ||
Shanghai Shenhua | Draw | Dalian Pro |
34.89% ( 0.18) | 26.68% ( -0.03) | 38.43% ( -0.15) |
Both teams to score 51.85% ( 0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.86% ( 0.14) | 53.13% ( -0.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.29% ( 0.12) | 74.71% ( -0.12) |
Shanghai Shenhua Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.97% ( 0.18) | 29.03% ( -0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.06% ( 0.22) | 64.93% ( -0.23) |
Dalian Pro Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.06% ( -0.02) | 26.93% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.73% ( -0.02) | 62.26% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Shanghai Shenhua | Draw | Dalian Pro |
1-0 @ 9.67% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.85% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 5.98% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.24% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 2.47% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.12% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.57% Total : 34.89% | 1-1 @ 12.68% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.82% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.15% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.67% | 0-1 @ 10.25% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 8.32% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.73% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.64% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.94% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.19% ( -0) 0-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.14% Total : 38.42% |
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