SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chengdu Qianbao win with a probability of 75.5%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Wuhan had a probability of 8.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chengdu Qianbao win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.62%) and 3-0 (10.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.46%), while for a Wuhan win it was 0-1 (3.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chengdu Qianbao would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chengdu Qianbao | Draw | Wuhan |
75.5% ( -0.33) | 15.68% ( 0.21) | 8.83% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 45.97% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.5% ( -0.59) | 39.5% ( 0.59) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.16% ( -0.62) | 61.84% ( 0.62) |
| Chengdu Qianbao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.17% ( -0.21) | 8.83% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.74% ( -0.53) | 30.26% ( 0.54) |
| Wuhan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.43% ( -0.13) | 49.57% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.64% ( -0.09) | 84.36% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chengdu Qianbao | Draw | Wuhan |
| 2-0 @ 12.89% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 10.62% ( 0.18)3-0 @ 10.43% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 9.05% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 7.32% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 6.33% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 4.44% ( -0.08)5-0 @ 3.07% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 2.16% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.56% ( -0.03)6-0 @ 1.24% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.82% Total : 75.49% | 1-1 @ 7.46% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 4.38% ( 0.12)2-2 @ 3.17% ( -0)Other @ 0.67% Total : 15.68% | 0-1 @ 3.07% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 2.62% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 1.08% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.06% Total : 8.83% |
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