SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan Three Towns win with a probability of 46.23%. A win for Chengdu Qianbao had a probability of 28.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan Three Towns win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.19%) and 0-2 (8.26%). The likeliest Chengdu Qianbao win was 1-0 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chengdu Qianbao | Draw | Wuhan Three Towns |
28.07% ( 0.09) | 25.7% ( 0.07) | 46.23% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 52.21% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.57% ( -0.22) | 51.43% ( 0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.76% ( -0.19) | 73.24% ( 0.19) |
| Chengdu Qianbao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.13% ( -0.05) | 32.87% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.56% ( -0.05) | 69.44% ( 0.05) |
| Wuhan Three Towns Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.77% ( -0.16) | 22.22% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.35% ( -0.24) | 55.65% ( 0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chengdu Qianbao | Draw | Wuhan Three Towns |
| 1-0 @ 8.13% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 6.8% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 4.52% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 2.52% 3-2 @ 1.9% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.68% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.52% Total : 28.07% | 1-1 @ 12.22% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.31% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.7% | 0-1 @ 10.98% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 9.19% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 8.26% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.61% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 4.14% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.73% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.56% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.23% Total : 46.23% |
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