SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Port win with a probability of 37.96%. A win for Chengdu Qianbao had a probability of 35.36% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Port win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.27%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Chengdu Qianbao win was 1-0 (9.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chengdu Qianbao | Draw | Shanghai Port |
35.36% ( 0.38) | 26.67% ( 0.09) | 37.96% ( -0.47) |
| Both teams to score 51.94% ( -0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.95% ( -0.33) | 53.05% ( 0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.36% ( -0.28) | 74.63% ( 0.28) |
| Chengdu Qianbao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.3% ( 0.07) | 28.69% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.48% ( 0.09) | 64.51% ( -0.09) |
| Shanghai Port Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.84% ( -0.42) | 27.15% ( 0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.44% ( -0.55) | 62.55% ( 0.55) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chengdu Qianbao | Draw | Shanghai Port |
| 1-0 @ 9.73% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 7.92% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 6.07% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 3.3% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.53% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.65% Total : 35.36% | 1-1 @ 12.68% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.79% ( 0.1)2-2 @ 5.16% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.67% | 0-1 @ 10.15% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.27% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 6.62% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 3.59% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 2.88% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.1% Total : 37.96% |
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