SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 53.61%. A win for Dalian Pro had a probability of 23.6% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.26%) and 2-0 (8.53%). The likeliest Dalian Pro win was 1-2 (6.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Beijing Guoan | Draw | Dalian Pro |
53.61% ( 0.21) | 22.79% ( -0.04) | 23.6% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 57.45% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.46% ( -0.01) | 42.54% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.05% ( -0.01) | 64.95% ( 0.01) |
| Beijing Guoan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.15% ( 0.07) | 15.85% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.96% ( 0.13) | 45.04% ( -0.13) |
| Dalian Pro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.27% ( -0.16) | 31.73% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.85% ( -0.18) | 68.15% ( 0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Beijing Guoan | Draw | Dalian Pro |
| 2-1 @ 9.79% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.26% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 8.53% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 6.01% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 5.24% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.45% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.77% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.41% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.59% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.02% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.52% Total : 53.61% | 1-1 @ 10.63% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.62% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 5.03% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.19% Total : 22.79% | 1-2 @ 6.1% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 5.77% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 3.31% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.66% Total : 23.6% |
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