SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chengdu Qianbao win with a probability of 72.38%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Guangzhou had a probability of 10.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chengdu Qianbao win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.3%) and 3-0 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.03%), while for a Guangzhou win it was 0-1 (3.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Chengdu Qianbao in this match.
| Result | ||
| Chengdu Qianbao | Draw | Guangzhou |
72.38% ( 0.13) | 16.94% ( -0.09) | 10.68% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 48.95% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.41% ( 0.3) | 39.58% ( -0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.07% ( 0.31) | 61.93% ( -0.31) |
| Chengdu Qianbao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.41% ( 0.11) | 9.58% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.94% ( 0.25) | 32.06% ( -0.25) |
| Guangzhou Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.13% ( 0.12) | 45.86% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.38% ( 0.09) | 81.61% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chengdu Qianbao | Draw | Guangzhou |
| 2-0 @ 12.08% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 10.3% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 9.45% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.42% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 7.37% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 5.54% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 4.32% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.87% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 2.6% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 2.03% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.68% ( 0.02)6-0 @ 1.02% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.7% Total : 72.37% | 1-1 @ 8.03% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 4.4% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 3.67% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.84% Total : 16.94% | 0-1 @ 3.43% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 3.13% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.83% Total : 10.68% |
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