SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chengdu Qianbao win with a probability of 42.97%. A draw had a probability of 29.6% and a win for Henan Songshan Longmen had a probability of 27.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chengdu Qianbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.85%) and 2-1 (7.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.22%), while for a Henan Songshan Longmen win it was 0-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Chengdu Qianbao | Draw | Henan Songshan Longmen |
42.97% ( 0.47) | 29.58% ( 0.01) | 27.45% ( -0.47) |
| Both teams to score 41.22% ( -0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.76% ( -0.2) | 65.23% ( 0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.94% ( -0.14) | 84.05% ( 0.14) |
| Chengdu Qianbao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.77% ( 0.16) | 30.23% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.61% ( 0.19) | 66.39% ( -0.19) |
| Henan Songshan Longmen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.08% ( -0.52) | 40.92% ( 0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.51% ( -0.47) | 77.49% ( 0.47) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chengdu Qianbao | Draw | Henan Songshan Longmen |
| 1-0 @ 14.79% ( 0.17) 2-0 @ 8.85% ( 0.14)2-1 @ 7.91% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.53% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 3.16% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.41% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.31% Total : 42.96% | 1-1 @ 13.22% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 12.37% ( 0.1)2-2 @ 3.53% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.45% Total : 29.57% | 0-1 @ 11.05% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 5.91% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 4.94% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.27% Total : 27.45% |
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