The teams both come into this one on a decent run of results, so we are expecting a cracking and end-to-end affair. That said, we are also tipping the home side to come away with a narrow win at the end of the 90 minutes here.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Port win with a probability of 36.72%. A win for Chengdu Qianbao had a probability of 31.87% and a draw had a probability of 31.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Port win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.41%) and 2-1 (6.84%). The likeliest Chengdu Qianbao win was 0-1 (13.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (14.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Shanghai Port would win this match.
0.06) 
-0.04) 
