SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Port win with a probability of 36.72%. A win for Chengdu Qianbao had a probability of 31.87% and a draw had a probability of 31.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Port win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.41%) and 2-1 (6.84%). The likeliest Chengdu Qianbao win was 0-1 (13.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (14.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Shanghai Port would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shanghai Port | Draw | Chengdu Qianbao |
36.72% ( 0.06) | 31.4% ( -0.04) | 31.87% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 38.42% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 30.64% ( 0.11) | 69.36% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 13.18% ( 0.07) | 86.82% ( -0.07) |
| Shanghai Port Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.74% ( 0.1) | 36.26% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.96% ( 0.1) | 73.04% ( -0.1) |
| Chengdu Qianbao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.27% ( 0.05) | 39.73% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.6% ( 0.04) | 76.4% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shanghai Port | Draw | Chengdu Qianbao |
| 1-0 @ 14.61% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.41% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 6.84% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.51% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.31% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.07% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.96% Total : 36.72% | 0-0 @ 14.4% ( -0.06) 1-1 @ 13.49% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 3.16% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.35% Total : 31.4% | 0-1 @ 13.29% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 6.23% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.14% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.92% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.89% ( -0)2-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.44% Total : 31.87% |
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