SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chengdu Qianbao win with a probability of 64.35%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Wuhan had a probability of 14.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chengdu Qianbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.21%) and 1-2 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10%), while for a Wuhan win it was 1-0 (5.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Chengdu Qianbao in this match.
| Result | ||
| Wuhan | Draw | Chengdu Qianbao |
14.58% ( -0.22) | 21.07% ( -0.28) | 64.35% ( 0.51) |
| Both teams to score 46.97% ( 0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.52% ( 0.74) | 48.48% ( -0.73) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.39% ( 0.67) | 70.61% ( -0.66) |
| Wuhan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.84% ( 0.14) | 45.16% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.94% ( 0.11) | 81.06% ( -0.1) |
| Chengdu Qianbao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.65% ( 0.4) | 14.35% ( -0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.78% ( 0.77) | 42.22% ( -0.76) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wuhan | Draw | Chengdu Qianbao |
| 1-0 @ 5.15% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 3.98% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 2.05% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 1.05% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.32% Total : 14.58% | 1-1 @ 10% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 6.48% ( -0.2)2-2 @ 3.86% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.73% Total : 21.07% | 0-1 @ 12.58% ( -0.2) 0-2 @ 12.21% ( -0.02)1-2 @ 9.71% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 7.9% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 6.28% ( 0.1)0-4 @ 3.84% ( 0.1)1-4 @ 3.05% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.05)0-5 @ 1.49% ( 0.06)2-4 @ 1.21% ( 0.04)1-5 @ 1.18% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.39% Total : 64.34% |
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