SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Port win with a probability of 50.28%. A win for Chengdu Qianbao had a probability of 24.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Port win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.52%) and 0-2 (9.02%). The likeliest Chengdu Qianbao win was 1-0 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chengdu Qianbao | Draw | Shanghai Port |
24.87% ( 0.2) | 24.84% ( 0.06) | 50.28% ( -0.26) |
| Both teams to score 52.18% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.82% ( -0.08) | 50.18% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.86% ( -0.07) | 72.14% ( 0.07) |
| Chengdu Qianbao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.2% ( 0.13) | 34.8% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.47% ( 0.14) | 71.53% ( -0.14) |
| Shanghai Port Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.03% ( -0.14) | 19.97% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.86% ( -0.22) | 52.13% ( 0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chengdu Qianbao | Draw | Shanghai Port |
| 1-0 @ 7.33% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 6.24% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 3.87% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 2.2% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.77% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.36% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.1% Total : 24.87% | 1-1 @ 11.81% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.95% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.02% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.84% | 0-1 @ 11.19% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.52% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 9.02% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 5.11% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 4.84% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2.7% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.06% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.95% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.8% Total : 50.28% |
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