SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Meizhou Hakka win with a probability of 73.86%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Shenzhen had a probability of 9.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Meizhou Hakka win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.09%) and 3-0 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.7%), while for a Shenzhen win it was 0-1 (3.19%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Meizhou Hakka would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Meizhou Hakka | Draw | Shenzhen |
73.86% ( -0.18) | 16.23% ( 0.1) | 9.91% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 48.55% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.44% ( -0.22) | 38.56% ( 0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.14% ( -0.23) | 60.85% ( 0.23) |
| Meizhou Hakka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.02% ( -0.1) | 8.98% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.38% ( -0.23) | 30.61% ( 0.23) |
| Shenzhen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.34% ( 0.02) | 46.66% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.77% ( 0.01) | 82.23% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Meizhou Hakka | Draw | Shenzhen |
| 2-0 @ 12.16% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 10.09% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 9.78% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 9.28% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 7.45% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 5.89% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 4.49% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 2.84% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.84% ( -0)5-1 @ 2.17% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.71% ( -0.01)6-0 @ 1.14% ( -0.02)Other @ 4% Total : 73.84% | 1-1 @ 7.7% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 4.19% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 3.54% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.81% Total : 16.23% | 0-1 @ 3.19% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 2.93% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 1.22% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.57% Total : 9.91% |
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