SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Henan Songshan Longmen win with a probability of 45.15%. A win for Chengdu Qianbao had a probability of 28.81% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Henan Songshan Longmen win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest Chengdu Qianbao win was 0-1 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Henan Songshan Longmen | Draw | Chengdu Qianbao |
45.15% ( -0.23) | 26.04% ( 0.11) | 28.81% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 51.64% ( -0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.6% ( -0.37) | 52.4% ( 0.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.92% ( -0.32) | 74.08% ( 0.32) |
| Henan Songshan Longmen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.86% ( -0.26) | 23.14% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.99% ( -0.39) | 57.01% ( 0.39) |
| Chengdu Qianbao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.19% ( -0.1) | 32.82% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.62% ( -0.11) | 69.38% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Henan Songshan Longmen | Draw | Chengdu Qianbao |
| 1-0 @ 11.11% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.06% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 8.13% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.42% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 3.97% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.46% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.62% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.45% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 0.9% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.02% Total : 45.15% | 1-1 @ 12.38% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.59% ( 0.11)2-2 @ 5.05% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.04% | 0-1 @ 8.46% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 6.9% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.71% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.56% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.55% Total : 28.81% |
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